Upcoming Presentations and Events
We are proud to announce that the Research Program on Forecasting will once again be hosting the University Seminar on Forecasting for 2013-2014.
Several of our seminars are now also cross-listed with the Washington DC Area Econometrics Workshops.
April 17-18, 2014: A number of our members will be participating in the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics 22nd Annual Symposium, Baruch College, The City University of New York (CUNY) in New York City.
April 24, 2014: FFC/2014: 20th Federal Forecasters Conference.
May 8, 2014 (joint with macro-international seminar): Tao Zha (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta) will present "Trends and Cycles in China’s Macroeconomy"
Abstract: With all the major political and economic events, as well as many other such events on a smaller scale, how do we know which event affects cycles, which event affects volatilities, and which event triggers trend break? So far there is little empirical work on this important question. This paper makes two contributions. First, we construct a set of core macroeconomic and financial time series for China to be as consistent with the U.S. national income and product account (NIPA) as possible, all in level on quarterly frequency from 1991Q1 to present (2014Q1). Second, we develop a new econometric method for decoupling cycles from trends and volatilities in the Chinese time series. Our results are important because they provide the benchmark empirical data and analysis for China’s macroeconomy.
May 15, 2014: Christiane Baumeister (Bank of Canada) will present “Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis”
The seminar will be on summer break until September - check back in August for a listing of our fall line-up!
If you have any suggestions for speakers to invite or for other events, please email Tara Sinclair at firstname.lastname@example.org.